Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.051360 0.059863 0.069200 0.080196 0.092772 0.106686 0.123228
2025-05-04 0.038167 0.049181 0.062394 0.079337 0.100402 0.125642 0.158080
2025-05-11 0.029693 0.041813 0.057521 0.079201 0.108144 0.145223 0.196057
2025-05-18 0.023112 0.035283 0.052201 0.077132 0.112568 0.160688 0.230432
2025-05-25 0.018499 0.030404 0.048033 0.075586 0.116985 0.176147 0.266140
2025-06-01 0.015512 0.027260 0.045680 0.076020 0.123898 0.195446 0.308948
2025-06-08 0.012720 0.023838 0.042246 0.074108 0.126749 0.208747 0.343959
2025-06-15 0.011498 0.022792 0.042397 0.077810 0.138658 0.236831 0.404077
2025-06-22 0.009906 0.020772 0.040539 0.077782 0.144280 0.255302 0.450492
2025-06-29 0.008327 0.018463 0.037781 0.075711 0.146018 0.267347 0.487226
2025-07-06 0.007157 0.016733 0.035801 0.074718 0.149410 0.282310 0.529970
2025-07-13 0.006702 0.016400 0.036451 0.078745 0.162337 0.314949 0.606053
2025-07-20 0.006147 0.015777 0.036476 0.081644 0.173651 0.346091 0.682910
2025-07-27 0.005240 0.014176 0.034223 0.079623 0.175182 0.359423 0.728586
2025-08-03 0.004571 0.013003 0.032707 0.078922 0.179230 0.377811 0.785243
2025-08-10 0.003891 0.011659 0.030585 0.076586 0.179588 0.389006 0.829004
2025-08-17 0.003354 0.010571 0.028875 0.074917 0.181115 0.402562 0.878401
2025-08-24 0.003002 0.009912 0.028095 0.075280 0.187078 0.425567 0.948451
2025-08-31 0.002587 0.008975 0.026460 0.073352 0.187642 0.437327 0.996389
2025-09-07 0.002466 0.008898 0.027050 0.077003 0.201448 0.478375 1.108547
2025-09-14 0.002208 0.008332 0.026236 0.076967 0.206528 0.500892 1.183048
2025-09-21 0.001910 0.007565 0.024732 0.074912 0.206480 0.512025 1.233766
2025-09-28 0.001686 0.006992 0.023683 0.073927 0.208949 0.528993 1.298559